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Demystifying the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle

ISBN:
9781137452474
Auflage:
2015
Verlag:
Palgrave Macmillan UK
Land des Verlags:
Vereinigtes Königreich
Erscheinungsdatum:
17.12.2014
Format:
Hardcover
Seitenanzahl:
150
Ladenpreis
54,99EUR (inkl. MwSt. zzgl. Versand)
Lieferung in 3-4 Werktagen Versandkostenfrei ab 40 Euro in Österreich
Hinweis: Da dieses Werk nicht aus Österreich stammt, ist es wahrscheinlich, dass es nicht die österreichische Rechtslage enthält. Bitte berücksichtigen Sie dies bei ihrem Kauf.
For the past 30 years international monetary economists have believed that exchange rate models cannot outperform the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting as a result of the 1983 paper written by Richard Meese and Kenneth Rogoff. Marking the culmination of their extensive research into the Meese-Rogoff puzzle, Moosa and Burns challenge the orthodoxy by demonstrating that the naïve random walk model can be outperformed by exchange rate models when forecasting accuracy is measured by metrics that do not rely exclusively on the magnitude of forecasting error. The authors present compelling evidence, supported by their own measure: the 'adjusted root mean square error', to finally solve the Meese-Rogoff puzzle and provide a new alternative. Demystifying the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle will appeal to academics with an interest in exchange rate economics and international monetary economics. It will also be a useful resource for central banks and financial institutions.
Biografische Anmerkung

Imad Moosa is Professor of Finance at the Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT), Australia. He has also held previous appointments at Monash and La Trobe Universities, Australia, and the University of Sheffield, UK. Prior to working in academia he held professional positions at the International Monetary Fund and in investment banking. He has published 16 books and over 200 papers.

Kelly Burns is a Research Fellow at Curtin Graduate School of Business, Australia. She has held previous appointments at the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the Department of Premier and Cabinet, the Department of Justice, and the Colonial First State. In 2002, she graduated from La Trobe University, Australia, and was the recipient of the Dean's Medal for Economics.