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Economic Structural Change

Analysis and Forecasting
ISBN:
978-3-662-06826-7
Auflage:
Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1991
Verlag:
Springer Berlin
Land des Verlags:
Deutschland
Erscheinungsdatum:
03.10.2013
Format:
Softcover
Seitenanzahl:
385
Ladenpreis
54,99 EUR (inkl. MwSt. zzgl. Versand)
Lieferung in 5-10 Werktagen Versandkostenfrei ab 40 Euro in Österreich
Hinweis: Da dieses Werk nicht aus Österreich stammt, ist es wahrscheinlich, dass es nicht die österreichische Rechtslage enthält. Bitte berücksichtigen Sie dies bei ihrem Kauf.
Structural change is a fundamental concept in economic model building. Statistics and econometrics provide the tools for identification of change, for estimating the onset of a change, for assessing its extent and relevance. Statistics and econometrics also have de veloped models that are suitable for picturing the data-generating process in the presence of structural change by assimilating the changes or due to the robustness to its presence. Important subjects in this context are forecasting methods. The need for such methods became obvious when, as a consequence of the oil price shock, the results of empirical analyses suddenly seemed to be much less reliable than before. Nowadays, economists agree that models with fixed structure that picture reality over longer periods are illusions. An example for less dramatic causes than the oil price shock with similarly profound effects is economic growth and its impacts on the economic system. Indeed, economic growth was a motivating concept for this volume. In 1983, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxen burg/ Austria initiated an ambitious project on "Economic Growth and Structural Change".